Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 1.774617 2.046850 2.346411 2.700447 3.107430 3.560649 4.103736
2025-05-04 1.448318 1.818050 2.259668 2.825858 3.532558 4.385781 5.494792
2025-05-11 1.190411 1.607717 2.142722 2.878560 3.864508 5.140580 6.919351
2025-05-18 0.963469 1.388414 1.968462 2.817454 4.028634 5.695472 8.166920
2025-05-25 0.774381 1.182827 1.772603 2.685343 4.062687 6.065203 9.202915
2025-06-01 0.661017 1.064364 1.677189 2.674704 4.258377 6.677950 10.662948
2025-06-08 0.562814 0.951247 1.569645 2.623971 4.377614 7.181418 12.015000
2025-06-15 0.521812 0.922163 1.587512 2.771238 4.826113 8.251388 14.408955
2025-06-22 0.469696 0.865472 1.550210 2.817974 5.108519 9.078302 16.499572
2025-06-29 0.414439 0.794357 1.477063 2.789473 5.251708 9.678436 18.264465
2025-07-06 0.354154 0.704757 1.357923 2.659234 5.189627 9.900091 19.361651
2025-07-13 0.332963 0.686342 1.367346 2.770391 5.591726 11.017981 22.280345
2025-07-20 0.315077 0.673482 1.388667 2.913901 6.088717 12.403147 25.957974
2025-07-27 0.292317 0.647366 1.380363 2.997130 6.477696 13.630204 29.496222
2025-08-03 0.266796 0.611537 1.347141 3.023586 6.752433 14.661807 32.773718
2025-08-10 0.235601 0.558435 1.269783 2.943343 6.785860 15.191142 35.042643
2025-08-17 0.203690 0.498746 1.169447 2.796783 6.649863 15.333174 36.463884
2025-08-24 0.184987 0.467302 1.128495 2.780902 6.810383 16.154160 39.552795
2025-08-31 0.166000 0.432266 1.074262 2.725521 6.869293 16.748382 42.185794
2025-09-07 0.161099 0.431822 1.102890 2.876869 7.451745 18.650311 48.258903
2025-09-14 0.150802 0.415874 1.091032 2.924474 7.780951 19.980441 53.083582
2025-09-21 0.137650 0.390345 1.051367 2.894403 7.906101 20.818805 56.759774
2025-09-28 0.121145 0.353130 0.976151 2.759034 7.734232 20.877228 58.387486